How much longer can Nikki Haley stay in the 2024 race?

TOPIC: Nikki Haley's New Hampshire Primary Loss and Predictions for the 2024 Presidential Race

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MONEY LINE: 

"I don't see Nikki Haley in a second Trump administration."

KEY TAKEAWAYS:

• Donald Trump's victory in New Hampshire, following his win in Iowa, sets a strong precedent, as no candidate has won both states and gone on to lose the nomination.

• Nikki Haley's performance in New Hampshire, while improved, still places her in second, raising doubts about her campaign's viability.

• Joe Biden, despite being a write-in candidate, also secures a win in New Hampshire.

• Nikki Haley's performance in New Hampshire, while showing an upward trend, still places her behind Trump, raising questions about her campaign's future.

• The viability of Haley's campaign is doubtful due to limited financial resources and her reliance on crossover Democratic votes in New Hampshire which won't be able to carry her in other states.

• Nikki Haley's poll numbers aren't great, with her trailing by over 30 points in her home state of South Carolina.

• Ron DeSantis's decision to exit the race shortly after Iowa reflects the challenges candidates face in maintaining momentum and funding.

• The tendency of candidates to assert their continuation in the race often foreshadows imminent withdrawal, as seen with Vivek Ramaswamy and Ron DeSantis.

• The future of Nikki Haley in politics, particularly in a potential Trump administration, is unlikely as she has become enemies with Trump. Although it's worth noting that in 2016, many of Trump's competitors found jobs in his administration after the election.

• Donald Trump's ability to control media attention and voter engagement continues to outpace any other candidate, including his speculating about his Vice Presidential pick dominating headlines.

• The Republican Party faces the challenge of diversifying its voter base, particularly appealing to suburban women on issues like abortion.

• The dominance of Trump in the media and his unconventional political approach make him a formidable candidate, despite potential legal challenges.

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